Taro Aso, former Prime Minister of Japan, stirred controversy on October 8th by referring to Taiwan as a “neighboring country” during a speech at the National Day celebration organized by the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office in Japan. Akio Yaita, a prominent Japanese media figure, reported on his Facebook that Aso highlighted the historical ties of Taiwan, noting that it has been 113 years since the establishment of the Republic of China coincided with the start of Japan’s Taisho era. This remark appears to resonate with President Lai Ching-te’s recent statements on Taiwan’s national identity and is likely to elicit a strong response from China. Aso’s comments are particularly significant as they represent a clear commitment to supporting Taiwan.
At the event held at the prestigious Okura Hotel in Tokyo, Aso reiterated the importance of the friendly relationship between Japan and Taiwan, even in the absence of formal diplomatic ties. His words hold considerable weight, especially considering Japan’s historical tendency to avoid language that suggests Taiwan’s status as a sovereign state.
Aso’s extensive experience as a former Prime Minister and seasoned diplomat, having served as foreign minister under Prime Ministers Junichiro Koizumi and Shinzo Abe, adds further context to his remarks. Yaita emphasized that Aso is well-versed in Japan’s foreign policy and likely aware that his statements may contravene diplomatic norms.
What motivated Aso to make these statements now? Yaita identified two key factors. Firstly, there is increasing dissatisfaction with China, particularly in light of recent incidents where Chinese military aircraft violated Japanese airspace and missile tests were conducted without prior notice. Additionally, concerns have been raised regarding the deaths of Japanese schoolchildren in China, with the Chinese government’s lack of transparency aggravating tensions.
Secondly, Aso’s comments may be interpreted as a reaction to Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s cabinet appointments, which included individuals perceived as pro-Chinese. Aso’s faction, known for its historical alignment with Taiwan, seems to have been marginalized in the recent cabinet reshuffle, with no close allies from his faction included. Furthermore, Aso’s role as vice-president of the Liberal Democratic Party has diminished to a largely ceremonial position.
Despite some discomfort experienced following the recent LDP presidential election, where Aso’s faction predominantly supported Sanae Takaichi, Yaita noted that Ishiba’s appointments might have overstepped, leading to Aso’s feelings of resentment. In a recent public display of discontent, Aso notably declined to shake Ishiba’s hand or pose for pictures, leaving the venue early after the announcements.
Yaita underscored that Aso’s primary motivation seems to be a strong expression of support for Taiwan, particularly as the voices advocating for Taiwan within Ishiba’s cabinet have significantly decreased. Aso’s involvement in the National Day celebration appears to be a calculated effort to reaffirm Japan’s solidarity with Taiwan.
Moreover, on October 9th, Ishiba announced the dissolution of the House of Representatives. Yaita remarked that the 84-year-old Aso is preparing to re-enter politics, returning to his hometown in Fukuoka to campaign for the impending elections. If all goes as planned, Aso is expected to return to the Diet in three weeks and may be well-positioned to lead a faction within his party against the current administration when the opportunity arises.
